Convergence and Basis Risk

Fixed Income and Derivatives Mastery · 4:04

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Lyrics

[Verse 1]
When you buy a futures contract today
The price might seem so far away
From what the asset's trading for right now
But time will show you exactly how
As expiration date draws near
Something magical will appear
The gap between them starts to fade
That's convergence being made

[Chorus]
Futures meet the spot at expiration
No more price separation
Convergence is the rule, basis shrinks to zero
That's the hedging hero
When futures meet the spot at expiration
Perfect price coordination
Convergence is the rule, basis shrinks to zero
That's what makes it clear-o

[Verse 2]
The basis is the difference you can see
Spot price minus futures, that's the key
When basis changes, that's your risk right there
Even when you hedge with careful care
If basis widens unexpectedly
Your hedge won't work so perfectly
The profits that you thought you'd make
Could vanish for the basis sake

[Chorus]
Futures meet the spot at expiration
No more price separation
Convergence is the rule, basis shrinks to zero
That's the hedging hero
When futures meet the spot at expiration
Perfect price coordination
Convergence is the rule, basis shrinks to zero
That's what makes it clear-o

[Bridge]
Strengthen or weaken, the basis will move
That's the risk you need to prove
Cross hedging makes it even worse
Different assets, different curse
But at expiration, convergence wins
That's where the magic begins

[Verse 3]
So when you hedge your portfolio
Remember basis risk will flow
The closer to expiration date
The smaller risks you'll calculate
Arbitrage will force the prices tight
Making convergence work just right
Storage costs and carry trades
Keep the pricing rules obeyed

[Chorus]
Futures meet the spot at expiration
No more price separation
Convergence is the rule, basis shrinks to zero
That's the hedging hero
When futures meet the spot at expiration
Perfect price coordination
Convergence is the rule, basis shrinks to zero
That's what makes it clear-o

[Outro]
Convergence and basis risk
Every hedger needs to know this
Plan your trades and time them right
Convergence brings the perfect sight

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