[Verse 1] Trump sat down on CNN, cool as Rhodes piano keys, Said a brand new war with Iran's "highly unlikely" — please, But that word "unlikely" got a string tied to its wrist, Only holds if Tehran signs what he calls a "very strong" list, Said it plain: "I would if necessary," no mistake, Three carriers out there, "locked and loaded," wide awake. [Chorus] Highly unlikely, but listen to the catch, Depends on a signature, depends on the match, Two days before he's talking strikes on Qeshm sand, Task Force Iron Gate moving pieces 'cross the land. [Verse 2] Rewind forty-eight hours, he confirmed it clear, "Minor strikes" on air defense, Qeshm island drear, Headline skipped that part, skipped the carriers too, Thirty-eight bridges named as targets, that's news to you, CENTCOM's Iron Gate stacked on a blockade that's been Choking Persian ports for months, quiet and unseen. [Chorus] Highly unlikely, but listen to the catch, Depends on a signature, depends on the match, Two days before he's talking strikes on Qeshm sand, Task Force Iron Gate moving pieces 'cross the land. [Verse 3] Monday White House calendar, Qatar's PM comes through, Foreign Minister beside him, diplomacy's the cue, Rubio's on a flight to Paris, G7 on his mind, Calls the gap with Iran's demands "outrageous," unaligned, Araghchi holds his ground, the proposal still stands, Warns rejection "rains down hell" across these desert lands. [Bridge] Regional voices whisper through the AP cable, More strikes could nudge the Houthis off the table, Watch the mediators, watch if talks resume, A handshake or a headline — which one fills the room? [Verse 4] Rubio says no breakthrough near, the table's still half bare, Trump keeps the door cracked open while the carriers stay there, Not peace, not war, just balance on a wire so thin, That's the Gulf tonight — November, ninth, sink in. [Verse 5] Meanwhile oil traders watch the Strait of Hormuz hold, Every rumor of a strike sends the futures market cold, Insurance rates on tankers climbing higher every week, Shipping lanes rerouting south, captains start to speak Of risk premiums stacking up on every barrel sold, While diplomats in conference rooms let the story slowly fold, Tehran's economy strained from sanctions biting deep, Yet still Araghchi says the deal's worth more than they can keep, Washington calculates the cost of patience versus might, Every carrier group a signal lighting up the night. [Bridge] Regional voices whisper through the AP cable, More strikes could nudge the Houthis off the table, Watch the mediators, watch if talks resume, A handshake or a headline — which one fills the room? [Outro] Highly unlikely, not impossible, not done, Keep the forces ready till the talking's won. [Chorus] Highly unlikely, but listen to the catch, Depends on a signature, depends on the match, Two days before he's talking strikes on Qeshm sand, Task Force Iron Gate moving pieces 'cross the land.
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