[Verse 1] When the news breaks and the stories fly Different claims at different heights Some might be true, some might be lies You gotta learn to size them right Like a trader with their money on the line Match your confidence to what you find [Chorus] Strong claims need strong proof to stand Weak claims need just a gentle hand Size your conviction like you trade Don't bet more than the evidence made Level one, level two, level three Match your certainty to what you see [Verse 2] "There's organization behind this crowd" That's level one, it's quite allowed Most big protests have support and plans Logistics, funding, helping hands This claim is reasonable, probably true Standard evidence will see you through [Chorus] Strong claims need strong proof to stand Weak claims need just a gentle hand Size your conviction like you trade Don't bet more than the evidence made Level one, level two, level three Match your certainty to what you see [Verse 3] "The protesters are being bused in here" Now that's level two, be more severe Specific, falsifiable, needs more proof Bus schedules, photos, something bulletproof A stronger claim requires stronger backing Without it, credibility you're lacking [Bridge] "The whole thing is a con, it's all fake" Level three's the strongest claim you make Extraordinary evidence you need For extraordinary claims indeed Like betting everything on one sure trade Make sure your homework has been made [Chorus] Strong claims need strong proof to stand Weak claims need just a gentle hand Size your conviction like you trade Don't bet more than the evidence made Level one, level two, level three Match your certainty to what you see [Outro] Be the analyst who gets it right Calibrate your claims with all your might From gentle doubts to certain facts Size your statements, check your facts
← 1 — Holding Multiple Hypotheses | 3 — The Trader's Real Edge →