Convergence and Basis Risk

russian salsa, classical cumbia, havana electropop

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Lyrics

[Verse 1]
Picture Sarah with her wheat field gleaming gold
Harvest coming but the market's getting cold
Locks in futures at a hundred twenty-five
Knowing spot price tends to dance and dive
As expiration crawls closer day by day
Watch the gap between these prices fade away

[Chorus]
Convergence calls, convergence calls
Futures drop, spot price crawls
Meeting at the finish line
Basis shrinks by grand design
But beware the twist and turn
Basis risk is what you'll learn

[Verse 2]
Tom's got corn but needs to hedge his bet
Sells December futures, safety net is set
Spot trades ninety, futures hundred ten
Twenty-dollar basis gap right there and then
Calendar pages flip toward the end
Watch these distant cousins slowly blend

[Chorus]
Convergence calls, convergence calls
Futures drop, spot price crawls
Meeting at the finish line
Basis shrinks by grand design
But beware the twist and turn
Basis risk is what you'll learn

[Bridge]
Quality matters, location too
Grade A wheat versus grade two
Transport costs can shift the scene
Perfect hedge stays just a dream
Basis widens, profit fades
Hedger's plan needs sharper blades

[Verse 3]
Expiration day arrives at last
Future ghosts become the past
Settlement price matches spot
Theory proves what traders thought
But along the bumpy road
Basis carried risky load

[Chorus]
Convergence calls, convergence calls
Futures drop, spot price crawls
Meeting at the finish line
Basis shrinks by grand design
But beware the twist and turn
Basis risk is what you'll learn

[Outro]
Futures fade to spot at end
Basis risk remains your friend
Plan for gaps that come between
Keep your hedging strategy keen

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