[Verse 1] Sarah sees three tech stocks soaring high Thinks all Silicon Valley's bound to fly Representativeness whispers in her ear "What looks familiar must be crystal clear" But patterns deceive when samples are small One hot streak doesn't predict them all [Chorus] ARCH your back against these mental traps Anchoring pulls you into yesterday's maps Representativeness makes you see faces in clouds Confirmation hunting keeps you fooled and proud Availability bias screams the loudest news These shortcuts in your skull will make you lose [Verse 2] Mike bought Tesla at a thousand per share That number haunts him like a pricing nightmare Anchoring bias chains him to the past First impressions grip his wallet fast New data comes but he can't break free From that initial anchor's tyranny [Chorus] ARCH your back against these mental traps Anchoring pulls you into yesterday's maps Representativeness makes you see faces in clouds Confirmation hunting keeps you fooled and proud Availability bias screams the loudest news These shortcuts in your skull will make you lose [Verse 3] Lisa reads about a market crash online Suddenly every headline spells decline Availability bias floods her brain Recent memories magnify the pain Vivid stories drown out boring stats Fear sells papers, rationality falls flat [Bridge] Confirmation bias builds an echo chamber Seeking only facts that won't endanger Your existing views, you cherry-pick the proof Ignore the warnings hiding from the truth These mental shortcuts served us in the past But modern markets move too quick and vast [Chorus] ARCH your back against these mental traps Anchoring pulls you into yesterday's maps Representativeness makes you see faces in clouds Confirmation hunting keeps you fooled and proud Availability bias screams the loudest news These shortcuts in your skull will make you lose [Outro] Question first impressions, seek the data wide Let evidence and logic be your guide Your caveman brain wants simple, quick, and neat But markets reward those who can defeat The biases that make us all so human Smart investors know when not to trust them
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