The arc of Trump: How the president lost the coalition that put him in the White House

CNBC reports that Trump won in 2024 by stitching together his base with unusual support from some traditional Democratic groups like Hispanics and young people.[1]According to CNBC, since the beginning of his second term, the president's net approval rating among Latino voters has dropped from -22 to -38, and declined from -28 to -53 among 18- to 34[1]-year-olds. National Security Journal, citing CNBC data, reports that Black respondents, with whom Trump made some gains in 2024, have gone from -55 to -67[2].CNBC says the bottom dropped out, however, with the launch of the Iran war.[1] The outlet reports that Trump's net economic approval has plunged to -31 in the latest survey[3], and that economic disapproval reached 65%, the highest for any president CNBC has measured back to President Barack Obama[3].CNBC reports that blue-collar workers' overall presidential approval remains +6, just a four-point drop.[1] According to CNBC, they still prefer a Republican-controlled Congress by 21 points, though that is down from 33 points in July.[1]CNBC says the extra votes from the coalition that put Trump in the White House in 2024 would be a reach for Republican congressional candidates in 2026.[1]According to CNBC, 44% of respondents say their biggest worry if Republicans control Congress is allowing President Trump to operate beyond his constitutional power.[1]CNBC reports that the survey was conducted Oct. 14-18[1] and polled 1,000 registered voters.