[Verse 1] Instead of asking what could hurt us today Turn the question around the other way What would it take to destroy everything we've built? Work backward from collapse, examine every tilt A manufacturing giant thought their supply was spread But one port failure left them hanging by a thread [Chorus] Look deeper, think backward, scan the horizon wide Map the chains, find the signals, weak and strong collide Reverse stress testing shows what you cannot see Black swan planning starts with dependency Look deeper, think backward, that's the key [Verse 2] Don't just map your suppliers one level down Go three or four layers, turn assumptions around Your vendor's vendor's vendor might be at risk Their power grid depending on one pipeline's twist COVID and Ukraine taught us lessons crystal clear The deeper you can see, the faster you steer [Chorus] Look deeper, think backward, scan the horizon wide Map the chains, find the signals, weak and strong collide Reverse stress testing shows what you cannot see Black swan planning starts with dependency Look deeper, think backward, that's the key [Bridge] Weak signals whisper before the storm Pneumonia clusters, troops in formation Negative rates that break the norm Early warnings across the nation Cross-domain workshops bring fresh eyes Different backgrounds, new perspectives rise [Verse 3] Define destruction for your company's case Insolvency, clients gone without a trace Regulatory shutdown, reputation destroyed Find minimum conditions to be deployed Assess how many pieces are already in place Build monitoring systems for that risky space [Chorus] Look deeper, think backward, scan the horizon wide Map the chains, find the signals, weak and strong collide Reverse stress testing shows what you cannot see Black swan planning starts with dependency Look deeper, think backward, that's the key [Outro] Hours or days of extra time to react When you're watching for signals, that's a fact Black swan planning isn't prophecy or magic It's expanded awareness when things turn tragic
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