Dancing Numbers, Hidden Games

pacific reggae, mandarin afrobeat, glitch hop swing, liverpool big band · 3:16

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Lyrics

[Verse 1]
They said private equity brings the highest gains
Promised double digits, breaking all the chains
But when the smartest scholars took a deeper look
Found the numbers dancing, cooking up the book

[Pre-Chorus]
What they know that you don't yet
There's more beneath the surface bet

[Chorus]
PE returns aren't all that great
When you adjust for risk and wait
Survivorship bias hides the pain
Selection bias skews the game
Learn to read between the lines
Question every claim you find

[Verse 2]
Academic papers started to reveal
The gap between the hype and what is real
Kaplan Schoar showed the median truth
Lower than the market, there's the proof

[Pre-Chorus]
What they know that you don't yet
Public data tells a different threat

[Chorus]
PE returns aren't all that great
When you adjust for risk and wait
Survivorship bias hides the pain
Selection bias skews the game
Learn to read between the lines
Question every claim you find

[Bridge]
Failed funds disappear from sight
Only winners shine their light
Illiquidity's hidden cost
True performance often lost

[Verse 3]
Harris Jenkinson Kaplan too
Showed the alpha was taboo
When you factor timing in
Net returns grow paper thin

[Final Chorus]
PE returns aren't all that great
When you control for risk and wait
Survivorship bias tells the tale
Selection makes the data stale
Now you know what they have learned
Question everything you've heard

[Outro]
The smartest minds have shown the way
Don't believe what marketers say
Dig deeper in the research game
That's how you'll never be the same

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