These House races could determine which party is in control in the next Congress

Headline from ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos · compiled from 5 sources

ABC News rates 16 House races as tossups that are expected to "come down to the wire"[1]

According to ABC News, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives are on the ballot when voters head to the polls on Nov. 3[2]. The network reports that Democrats must net at least a three-seat gain to take control.[2]ABC News reports that on Election Night, Speaker Mike Johnson effectively begins with a 220-215 edge over Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.[3] Jeffries told reporters this month that "The American people are fed up"[3], ABC reports.In Texas's 15th district, ABC News says Pulido, a Latin Grammy-winning Tejano singer, is challenging De La Cruz in a race that could test Trump's standing with Latino voters.[1]ABC News reports that in Iowa, Trump won one open district by 10 points in 2024, but the economic impacts from the Iran war and tariffs on this agriculture-heavy district have made this race competitive.[1]According to ABC News, Michigan Republican Tom Barrett has repeatedly bucked Trump by voting to limit his war powers in Iran[4]. ABC adds that Trump has campaigned in favor of Barrett's reelection[4] anyway.ABC News reports that in Ohio, Marcy Kaptur, the longest-serving woman in congressional history[4], is seeking a 23rd term. ABC notes that Kaptur narrowly defeated Merrin in 2024, even as Trump won the district by 6.5 points.[4]ABC10 reports that the Cook Political Report counted 21 "toss-up" races[5] as of Oct. According to ABC10, 15 are currently held by Republicans, putting them on the defensive.[5]

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Sources

  1. [1]These House races could determine which party is in control in the next Congress - ABC News
  2. [2]These House races could determine which party is in control in the next Congress – KVNU – News for Northern Utah and Southern Idaho
  3. [3]Control of Congress is up for grabs on Election Day. What's the math for Democrats and Republicans? - ABC News
  4. [4]These House races could determine which party is in control in the next Congress
  5. [5]Fight for the House of Representatives: Here are the races to watch in the 2026 midterms | abc10.com

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